Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, October 27, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | WAS | +8.0 | 209.0 | +325 |
| 504 | DAL | -8.0 | -355 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 79% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games - Game Winners | Dallas 67% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 70% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL -8.0 | Power Rating Model | Dallas wins by 9.3 | |
| DAL -8.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Dallas 51% odds to cover | |
| WAS +8.0 | Decision Tree | Washington 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 209.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 209.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL -355 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.012 | 1.061 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.8% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 24.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.288 | 0.279 | |
| Points/Game | 96.3 | 101.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.7 | +2.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.5 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.062 | 1.040 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.9% | 13.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.3% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.313 | 0.267 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.1 | 99.6 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 6.6% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.1% | 17.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-46 | 46-23 | |
| vs Division | 3-9 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 15-27 | 24-16 | |
| Streak | L10 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 0-10 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 12-22 | 24-11 | |
| Away | 9-24 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-37-2 | 28-40-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 18-24-0 | 15-24-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 13-21-0 | 7-27-1 | |
| Away | 15-16-2 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||