Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 16, 2009 |
| Time | 10:35 PM |
| Location | Arco Arena, Sacramento, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521 | WAS | +3.5 | 213.0 | +149 |
| 522 | SAC | -3.5 | -165 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | Power Rating Model | Sacramento 65% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Similar Games - Game Winners | Sacramento 56% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Decision Tree | Sacramento 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC -3.0 | Power Rating Model | Sacramento wins by 3.9 | |
| SAC -3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Sacramento 59% odds to cover | |
| WAS +3.5 | Decision Tree | Washington 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 213.0 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 213.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC -151 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.014 | 1.028 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.9% | 49.3% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 28.2% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.288 | 0.298 | |
| Points/Game | 96.7 | 100.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.8 | -4.1 | |
| SOS PR | 99.4 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.064 | 1.070 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.0% | 12.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.4% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.312 | 0.325 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.4 | 104.9 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 5.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.1% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-45 | 23-45 | |
| vs Division | 3-9 | 3-10 | |
| vs Conference | 15-27 | 14-29 | |
| Streak | L9 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 12-22 | 17-17 | |
| Away | 9-23 | 6-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 27-37-2 | 34-31-3 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 18-24-0 | 24-16-3 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 13-21-0 | 16-17-1 | |
| Away | 14-16-2 | 18-14-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||