Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, November 10, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | WAS | +8.5 | 185.0 | +371 |
| 504 | MIA | -8.5 | -432 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 80% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 73% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -8.5 | Power Rating Model | Miami wins by 9.4 | |
| WAS +8.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Washington 60% odds to cover | |
| WAS +8.5 | Decision Tree | Washington 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 185.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 185.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.012 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.8% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.288 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 96.3 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.7 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.5 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | WAS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.062 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.9% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.3% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.313 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.1 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.5% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.1% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-46 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 3-9 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 15-27 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | L10 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 0-10 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 12-22 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 9-24 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | WAS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-37-2 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-7-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 18-24-0 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 13-21-0 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 15-16-2 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||