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Golden State at Houston

  Thursday Mar 22, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Houston, TX | Odds: Houston by 8, Total Points: 195.5 | Team Pages: GSW | HOU

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSW HOU
Points 67.8 63.2
Total Points   131.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 18.6
Points From 3-Pointers 7.6 15.1
Points From Free Throws 24.7 29.6

Shooting GSW HOU
Field Goals Made 20.3 14.3
Field Goals Attempted 70.7 67.5
Field Goal % 28.7% 21.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 9.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 45.7
2 Point Shooting % 33.0% 20.3%
3 Pointers Made 2.5 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 15.1% 23.0%
Free Throws Made 24.7 29.6
Free Throws Attempted 34.3 42.4
Free Throw % 71.9% 69.8%

Ball Control GSW HOU
Rebounds 51.0 65.1
Rebounds - Defensive 41.4 46.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 18.6
Turnovers 19.1 25.1
Blocked Shots 7.4 2.2
Steals 10.0 9.4
Fouls 28.1 28.8

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSW HOU
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 92.2 95.2

% of Possessions with GSW HOU
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 15.1% 17.7%
Player Fouled 28.3% 27.7%
Turnover 18.8% 24.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken GSW HOU
Shot Blocked 3.3% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.2% 31.0%