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Golden State at Indiana

  Tuesday Feb 28, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN | Odds: Indiana by 6, Total Points: 201 | Team Pages: GSW | IND

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSW IND
Points 59.6 50.3
Total Points   109.9
Points From 2-Pointers 16.8 12.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 9.4
Points From Free Throws 28.4 28.7

Shooting GSW IND
Field Goals Made 13.2 9.2
Field Goals Attempted 81.3 75.8
Field Goal % 16.2% 12.2%
2 Pointers Made 8.4 6.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 15.2% 11.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 3.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 18.5% 15.6%
Free Throws Made 28.4 28.7
Free Throws Attempted 39.5 42.3
Free Throw % 71.9% 67.9%

Ball Control GSW IND
Rebounds 60.3 86.9
Rebounds - Defensive 47.2 60.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 26.4
Turnovers 13.8 26.1
Blocked Shots 7.5 6.4
Steals 12.8 6.2
Fouls 34.5 24.6

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSW IND
Total Possessions 105.0
Effective Scoring Chances 104.3 105.2

% of Possessions with GSW IND
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 15.0%
Player Fouled 23.4% 32.8%
Turnover 13.1% 24.9%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 12.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken GSW IND
Shot Blocked 8.7% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 35.8%