Golden State at Miami: Recap

Thursday Jan 2, 2014 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 5.5, Total Points: 205

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami GS 35.5%
MIA 64.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -5.0 GS 49.8%
MIA 50.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 205.5 Over 47.7%
Under 52.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
GS +185 GS +0.4%
MIA -2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
GS 99.7 100.2 123
MIA 104.8 105.2 114

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat GS MIA
Points/Game 118.0 109.3
Avg Score Margin +1.9 +0.4
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.4 12.5
Pts in Paint/Gm 48.6 47.1
Assists/Game 29.1 25.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.2 49.7
Effective FG % 55.3% 53.3%
Off Rebound % 27.6% 21.9%
FTA/FGA 0.223 0.258
Turnover % 12.2% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat GS MIA
Opp Points/Game 116.2 108.9
Opp Effective FG % 54.1% 54.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 50.3 46.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.4 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.4 32.7
Blocks/Game 4.4 3.3
Steals/Game 6.8 7.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.8 17.4