Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 18, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | TD Banknorth Garden, Boston, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 | GST | +16.0 | 211.0 | +1650 |
| 512 | BOS | -16.0 | -3000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Power Rating Model | Boston 83% odds to win | |
| Boston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Boston 98% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GST +16.5 | Power Rating Model | Golden State loses by 11.1 | |
| GST +16.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Golden State 50% odds to cover | |
| GST +16.0 | Decision Tree | Golden State 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 211.0 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 211.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GST +2750 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | GST | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.046 | 1.046 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.3% | 52.5% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 21.5% | 22.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.297 | 0.332 | |
| Points/Game | 108.0 | 98.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.5 | +4.6 | |
| SOS PR | 99.9 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | GST | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.080 | 0.997 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 52.3% | 48.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 14.8% | 14.5% | |
| Def Rebound % | 68.6% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.348 | 0.333 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 111.5 | 94.3 | |
| Block % | 4.9% | 6.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.1% | 20.7% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | GST | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-48 | 43-24 | |
| vs Division | 4-9 | 12-2 | |
| vs Conference | 10-30 | 30-15 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 15-20 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 4-28 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | GST | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-27-1 | 27-38-2 | |
| vs Division | 9-4-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 23-17-0 | 21-23-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 21-14-0 | 10-22-1 | |
| Away | 18-13-1 | 17-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||