Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 20, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | ORACLE Arena, Oakland, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 | POR | -7.5 | 207.0 | -335 |
| 520 | GST | +7.5 | +293 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 76% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 74% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 69% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GST +8.0 | Power Rating Model | Golden State loses by 7.6 | |
| GST +7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Golden State 51% odds to cover | |
| POR -7.5 | Decision Tree | Portland 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 207.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 207.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GST +318 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.073 | 1.038 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.0% | 51.0% | |
| Turnover % | 11.6% | 13.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.9% | 21.4% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.321 | 0.301 | |
| Points/Game | 98.1 | 107.2 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.9 | -4.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 99.9 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.077 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 52.0% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 14.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 68.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.297 | 0.345 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.2 | 111.2 | |
| Block % | 5.4% | 5.0% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 20.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | POR | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-28 | 17-47 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 25-15 | 9-29 | |
| Streak | W2 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 21-13 | 13-19 | |
| Away | 18-15 | 4-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | POR | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-31-1 | 36-27-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-18-1 | 21-17-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 15-18-1 | 18-14-0 | |
| Away | 20-13-0 | 18-13-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||