Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 11, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 | POR | -7.5 | 189.5 | -330 |
| 716 | MIN | +7.5 | +289 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 81% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 69% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR -7.5 | Power Rating Model | Portland wins by 10.1 | |
| MIN +7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Minnesota 52% odds to cover | |
| POR -7.5 | Decision Tree | Portland 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 189.5 | Decision Tree | 50% odds to go over 189.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR -330 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| LAY OFF | Models do not show an edge in either direction. | ||
| LAY OFF | Models do not show an edge in either direction. | ||
| LAY OFF | Models do not show an edge in either direction. | ||
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.074 | 0.990 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.7% | 47.8% | |
| Turnover % | 11.2% | 14.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.1% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.318 | 0.278 | |
| Points/Game | 97.8 | 98.2 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.4 | -9.6 | |
| SOS PR | 100.8 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.047 | 1.087 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.5% | 52.5% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.6% | 12.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 73.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.296 | 0.285 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.4 | 107.8 | |
| Block % | 5.5% | 4.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 18.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | POR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 50-32 | 15-67 | |
| vs Division | 8-8 | 3-13 | |
| vs Conference | 35-23 | 8-44 | |
| Streak | L2 | L7 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 27-17 | 10-31 | |
| Away | 25-19 | 5-36 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | POR | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 46-40-2 | 37-44-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-8-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 30-26-2 | 25-26-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 20-23-1 | 19-21-1 | |
| Away | 26-17-1 | 18-23-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||
