Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Ford Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 | POR | -3.0 | 186.5 | -141 |
| 708 | OKC | +3.0 | +131 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 62% odds to win | |
| Okla City | Similar Games - Game Winners | Okla City 69% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKC +3.0 | Power Rating Model | Okla City loses by 2.8 | |
| POR -3.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 59% odds to cover | |
| POR -3.0 | Decision Tree | Portland 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 186.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 186.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR -141 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.078 | 1.040 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 11.5% | 13.4% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.2% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.322 | 0.331 | |
| Points/Game | 98.4 | 100.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.2 | +3.3 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.043 | 1.005 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.4% | 47.7% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 13.5% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 73.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.296 | 0.294 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.2 | 96.6 | |
| Block % | 5.4% | 6.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 19.5% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | POR | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-28 | 41-25 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 8-3 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 22-18 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 22-13 | 22-11 | |
| Away | 19-15 | 19-14 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | POR | adv | OKC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-31-1 | 39-27-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18-1 | 22-18-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-1 | 18-15-0 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 21-12-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||