Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 23, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 | POR | +12.0 | 187.0 | +768 |
| 714 | SAN | -12.0 | -1008 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Power Rating Model | San Antonio 60% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Similar Games - Game Winners | San Antonio 91% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR +11.0 | Power Rating Model | Portland loses by 2.5 | |
| SAN -12.0 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 51% odds to cover | |
| POR +12.0 | Decision Tree | Portland 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 187.0 | Decision Tree | 62% odds to go under 187.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR +638 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 26% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.074 | 1.071 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.7% | 51.6% | |
| Turnover % | 11.4% | 12.2% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.3% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.323 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 97.9 | 101.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.0 | +4.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.041 | 1.020 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 48.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 76.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.282 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.9 | 96.6 | |
| Block % | 5.5% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 19.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | POR | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-29 | 41-27 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 26-16 | 25-17 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 23-13 | 25-10 | |
| Away | 19-16 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | POR | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-32-2 | 34-33-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18-2 | 22-19-1 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 16-19-1 | 20-14-1 | |
| Away | 21-13-1 | 14-19-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||