Game Information
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 | POR | -2.5 | 187.5 | -145 |
| 508 | HOU | +2.5 | +135 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 59% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 57% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +2.5 | Power Rating Model | Houston wins by 2.1 | |
| HOU +2.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Houston 50% odds to cover | |
| POR -2.5 | Decision Tree | Portland 60% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 187.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go over 187.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +135 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 16% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.075 | 1.037 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 48.9% | |
| Turnover % | 11.6% | 12.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.0% | 27.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.322 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 98.2 | 101.2 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.0 | +0.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 50.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 74.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.296 | 0.279 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.2 | 101.1 | |
| Block % | 5.4% | 4.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 19.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | POR | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-28 | 32-31 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 23-18 | |
| Streak | W3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 21-13 | 17-14 | |
| Away | 19-15 | 15-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | POR | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-31-1 | 29-34-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18-1 | 21-20-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 15-18-1 | 14-17-0 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||