Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Amway Arena, Orlando, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 | POR | +8.5 | 191.5 | +358 |
| 704 | ORL | -8.5 | -415 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | Power Rating Model | Orlando 69% odds to win | |
| Orlando | Similar Games - Game Winners | Orlando 77% odds to win | |
| Orlando | Decision Tree | Orlando 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR +8.5 | Power Rating Model | Portland loses by 5.0 | |
| ORL -8.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Orlando 53% odds to cover | |
| ORL -8.5 | Decision Tree | Orlando 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 191.5 | Decision Tree | 59% odds to go under 191.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR +354 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.078 | 1.073 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 52.9% | |
| Turnover % | 11.5% | 13.2% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.2% | 24.5% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.322 | 0.343 | |
| Points/Game | 98.4 | 102.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.2 | +6.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.043 | 1.000 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.4% | 47.5% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 77.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.296 | 0.272 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.2 | 95.1 | |
| Block % | 5.4% | 6.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.9% | 19.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | POR | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-28 | 49-21 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 9-5 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 33-12 | |
| Streak | W4 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 22-13 | 28-7 | |
| Away | 19-15 | 21-14 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | POR | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-31-1 | 38-31-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18-1 | 26-19-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-1 | 20-15-0 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 18-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||