Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 13, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 | POR | -3.0 | 187.5 | -150 |
| 708 | NOR | +3.0 | +136 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 67% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 61% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 65% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR -3.0 | Power Rating Model | Portland wins by 4.3 | |
| POR -3.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 59% odds to cover | |
| POR -3.0 | Decision Tree | Portland 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 187.5 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 187.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR -150 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.076 | 1.040 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.9% | 50.1% | |
| Turnover % | 11.5% | 12.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.3% | 24.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.323 | 0.242 | |
| Points/Game | 98.1 | 99.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.1 | -2.6 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.1 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.041 | 1.067 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.270 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.9 | 102.4 | |
| Block % | 5.4% | 4.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | POR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-28 | 33-38 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 5-8 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 22-23 | |
| Streak | W5 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 23-13 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 19-15 | 12-26 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | POR | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-32-1 | 32-38-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-0 | 5-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18-1 | 18-26-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 16-19-1 | 14-19-0 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 18-19-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||