Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 12, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Bradley Center, Milwaukee, WI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 | POR | +3.5 | 190.5 | +140 |
| 510 | MIL | -3.5 | -155 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 51% odds to win | |
| Milwaukee | Similar Games - Game Winners | Milwaukee 56% odds to win | |
| Milwaukee | Decision Tree | Milwaukee 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR +4.0 | Power Rating Model | Portland wins by 0.1 | |
| POR +3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 53% odds to cover | |
| POR +3.5 | Decision Tree | Portland 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 190.5 | Decision Tree | 57% odds to go under 190.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR +148 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.076 | 1.018 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.9% | 48.3% | |
| Turnover % | 11.5% | 12.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.3% | 25.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.323 | 0.239 | |
| Points/Game | 98.1 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.1 | +1.8 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.1 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | POR | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.041 | 0.999 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 48.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 14.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.6% | 77.0% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.354 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.9 | 96.4 | |
| Block % | 5.4% | 6.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.8% | 21.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | POR | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-28 | 38-30 | |
| vs Division | 6-7 | 9-5 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | W5 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 23-13 | 23-9 | |
| Away | 19-15 | 15-21 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | POR | adv | MIL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-32-1 | 44-23-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18-1 | 29-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| Home | 16-19-1 | 20-11-1 | |
| Away | 21-13-0 | 24-12-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||