Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 | MIN | +12.5 | 188.0 | +800 |
| 510 | POR | -12.5 | -1000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 83% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 92% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN +12.5 | Power Rating Model | Minnesota loses by 11.2 | |
| POR -12.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 61% odds to cover | |
| MIN +12.5 | Decision Tree | Minnesota 57% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 188.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 188.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN +800 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.986 | 1.076 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.5% | 49.9% | |
| Turnover % | 14.0% | 11.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.1% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.274 | 0.323 | |
| Points/Game | 98.1 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.5 | +3.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.082 | 1.041 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 52.1% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.3% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.9% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.286 | 0.295 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 107.6 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 4.2% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.9% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-56 | 42-28 | |
| vs Division | 3-12 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 7-38 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | L12 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-10 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 9-25 | 23-13 | |
| Away | 5-31 | 19-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-36-1 | 37-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-7-1 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-22-1 | 22-18-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 17-16-1 | 16-19-1 | |
| Away | 16-20-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||