Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 12, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Arco Arena, Sacramento, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 | MIN | +7.0 | 205.5 | +273 |
| 516 | SAC | -7.0 | -310 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | Power Rating Model | Sacramento 77% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Similar Games - Game Winners | Sacramento 68% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Decision Tree | Sacramento 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC -7.0 | Power Rating Model | Sacramento wins by 8.3 | |
| SAC -7.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Sacramento 54% odds to cover | |
| SAC -7.0 | Decision Tree | Sacramento 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 205.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 205.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC -305 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIN | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 0.986 | 1.027 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.5% | 49.2% | |
| Turnover % | 14.0% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.1% | 28.1% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.274 | 0.298 | |
| Points/Game | 98.1 | 100.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.5 | -4.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIN | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.082 | 1.069 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 52.1% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.3% | 12.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.9% | 72.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.286 | 0.324 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 107.6 | 105.0 | |
| Block % | 4.2% | 5.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.9% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-56 | 23-46 | |
| vs Division | 3-12 | 3-10 | |
| vs Conference | 7-38 | 14-29 | |
| Streak | L12 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 0-10 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 9-25 | 17-18 | |
| Away | 5-31 | 6-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIN | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-36-1 | 34-32-3 | |
| vs Division | 7-7-1 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-22-1 | 24-16-3 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 17-16-1 | 16-18-1 | |
| Away | 16-20-0 | 18-14-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||