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Minnesota at Utah

  Saturday Jan 21, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Salt Lake City, UT | Odds: Utah by 7, Total Points: 190.5 | Team Pages: MIN | UTA

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN UTA
Points 123.1 109.9
Total Points   232.9
Points From 2-Pointers 90.1 81.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 20.1
Points From Free Throws 10.1 8.6

Shooting MIN UTA
Field Goals Made 52.7 47.3
Field Goals Attempted 78.5 89.0
Field Goal % 67.1% 53.1%
2 Pointers Made 45.0 40.6
2 Pointers Attempted 66.2 64.8
2 Point Shooting % 68.1% 62.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 12.4 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 61.7% 27.7%
Free Throws Made 10.1 8.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 10.1
Free Throw % 71.0% 85.4%

Ball Control MIN UTA
Rebounds 37.0 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 19.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 14.1
Turnovers 9.0 6.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.1
Steals 6.1 4.6
Fouls 14.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +6.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN UTA
Total Possessions 86.9
Effective Scoring Chances 86.8 94.9

% of Possessions with MIN UTA
2 Point Attempt 68.1% 63.5%
3 Point Attempt 12.7% 23.7%
Player Fouled 18.0% 16.4%
Turnover 10.4% 7.0%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken MIN UTA
Shot Blocked 3.6% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 33.4%