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Minnesota at Atlanta

  Saturday Jan 14, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA | Odds: Atlanta by 6.5, Total Points: 188 | Team Pages: MIN | ATL

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN ATL
Points 115.9 111.2
Total Points   227.2
Points From 2-Pointers 75.2 74.5
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 31.0
Points From Free Throws 25.9 5.7

Shooting MIN ATL
Field Goals Made 42.5 47.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 86.2
Field Goal % 49.1% 55.3%
2 Pointers Made 37.6 37.3
2 Pointers Attempted 74.0 67.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 12.6 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 54.2%
Free Throws Made 25.9 5.7
Free Throws Attempted 36.4 10.7
Free Throw % 71.0% 52.9%

Ball Control MIN ATL
Rebounds 49.5 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 18.7 10.2
Turnovers 8.6 15.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 7.0
Steals 12.0 3.5
Fouls 18.5 20.9

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN ATL
Total Possessions 97.2
Effective Scoring Chances 107.4 92.3

% of Possessions with MIN ATL
2 Point Attempt 62.3% 61.2%
3 Point Attempt 10.6% 17.4%
Player Fouled 21.5% 19.0%
Turnover 8.8% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 3.6% 12.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken MIN ATL
Shot Blocked 8.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 37.8% 24.9%