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Minnesota at Atlanta

  Saturday Jan 14, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA | Odds: Atlanta by 6.5, Total Points: 188 | Team Pages: MIN | ATL

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN ATL
Points 105.4 109.6
Total Points   215.0
Points From 2-Pointers 69.5 66.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 26.7
Points From Free Throws 18.9 16.1

Shooting MIN ATL
Field Goals Made 40.4 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 85.2 80.0
Field Goal % 47.5% 52.9%
2 Pointers Made 34.7 33.4
2 Pointers Attempted 69.5 59.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 43.0%
Free Throws Made 18.9 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 21.0
Free Throw % 76.1% 76.9%

Ball Control MIN ATL
Rebounds 46.6 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 32.0 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 8.2
Turnovers 14.9 16.3
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.8
Steals 8.5 6.7
Fouls 21.4 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN ATL
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 92.3

% of Possessions with MIN ATL
2 Point Attempt 59.2% 53.7%
3 Point Attempt 13.4% 18.8%
Player Fouled 18.5% 21.3%
Turnover 14.8% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken MIN ATL
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 20.3%