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Okla City at Golden State

  Friday Jan 27, 2012 - 10:30 pm - Oakland, CA | Odds: Oklahoma City by 4.5, Total Points: 199 | Team Pages: OKC | GSW

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC GSW
Points 64.3 80.0
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 24.3 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 4.2 21.9
Points From Free Throws 35.8 21.8

Shooting OKC GSW
Field Goals Made 13.5 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 80.6
Field Goal % 22.5% 31.6%
2 Pointers Made 12.1 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.0 43.8
2 Point Shooting % 25.8% 41.6%
3 Pointers Made 1.4 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 10.5% 19.8%
Free Throws Made 35.8 21.8
Free Throws Attempted 43.9 30.3
Free Throw % 81.6% 71.9%

Ball Control OKC GSW
Rebounds 66.3 43.9
Rebounds - Defensive 49.9 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 16.5 10.4
Turnovers 31.4 14.0
Blocked Shots 1.4 10.9
Steals 8.9 9.3
Fouls 28.7 28.2

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: +2.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC GSW
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 88.3 99.5

% of Possessions with OKC GSW
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 10.6% 32.3%
Player Fouled 27.3% 27.8%
Turnover 30.5% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken OKC GSW
Shot Blocked 13.6% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 17.2%