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Okla City at Portland

  Tuesday Mar 27, 2012 - 10:00 pm - Portland, OR | Odds: Oklahoma City by 4.5, Total Points: 198 | Team Pages: OKC | POR

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC POR
Points 82.5 108.3
Total Points   190.8
Points From 2-Pointers 50.8 51.5
Points From 3-Pointers 3.3 39.9
Points From Free Throws 28.4 16.8

Shooting OKC POR
Field Goals Made 26.5 39.1
Field Goals Attempted 75.5 93.1
Field Goal % 35.1% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 25.4 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 61.4 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 1.1 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 39.4
3 Point Shooting % 7.9% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 28.4 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 34.8 21.8
Free Throw % 81.6% 77.3%

Ball Control OKC POR
Rebounds 57.4 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 18.9 18.2
Turnovers 17.8 6.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 13.6
Steals 7.0 3.1
Fouls 29.7 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: +5.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC POR
Total Possessions 94.3
Effective Scoring Chances 95.4 106.3

% of Possessions with OKC POR
2 Point Attempt 51.7% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 11.9% 34.7%
Player Fouled 18.1% 31.5%
Turnover 18.9% 6.5%
Opponent Steal 3.3% 7.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken OKC POR
Shot Blocked 14.7% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 37.2% 32.0%