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Okla City at Phoenix

  Wednesday Apr 18, 2012 - 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ | Odds: Oklahoma City by 4, Total Points: 209 | Team Pages: OKC | PHX

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC PHX
Points 103.0 136.2
Total Points   239.1
Points From 2-Pointers 80.8 70.1
Points From 3-Pointers 6.7 64.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 2.0

Shooting OKC PHX
Field Goals Made 42.7 56.4
Field Goals Attempted 78.6 93.0
Field Goal % 54.3% 60.7%
2 Pointers Made 40.4 35.1
2 Pointers Attempted 64.1 49.2
2 Point Shooting % 63.0% 71.3%
3 Pointers Made 2.2 21.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 43.8
3 Point Shooting % 15.6% 48.8%
Free Throws Made 15.4 2.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 2.7
Free Throw % 81.6% 72.2%

Ball Control OKC PHX
Rebounds 41.9 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 7.9
Turnovers 19.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 6.1
Steals 7.9 4.3
Fouls 13.2 20.9

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: +2.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC PHX
Total Possessions 97.3
Effective Scoring Chances 90.6 94.6

% of Possessions with OKC PHX
2 Point Attempt 56.8% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 12.8% 41.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 13.5%
Turnover 20.4% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 4.4% 8.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken OKC PHX
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 35.2% 21.7%