Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 19, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 | OKC | +3.5 | 195.5 | +144 |
| 716 | HOU | -3.5 | -159 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 65% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Houston 54% odds to win | |
| Houston | Decision Tree | Houston 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -3.5 | Power Rating Model | Houston wins by 3.7 | |
| HOU -3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Houston 56% odds to cover | |
| HOU -3.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 195.5 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 195.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -161 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | OKC | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.041 | 1.042 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.9% | 49.3% | |
| Turnover % | 13.3% | 12.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.5% | 27.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.331 | 0.292 | |
| Points/Game | 100.2 | 101.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.7 | +0.3 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | OKC | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.003 | 1.039 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 47.7% | 50.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.6% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.5% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.278 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 96.5 | 101.3 | |
| Block % | 6.9% | 4.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.5% | 19.2% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | OKC | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-25 | 35-32 | |
| vs Division | 8-3 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 22-11 | 20-15 | |
| Away | 20-14 | 15-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | OKC | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-27-0 | 31-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18-0 | 23-20-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 18-15-0 | 16-19-0 | |
| Away | 22-12-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||