Okla City at Miami: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jun 21, 2012 9:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 3.5, Total Points: 194

Matchup Menu: OKC @ MIA

More Games From Jun 21, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MIA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting OKC MIA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 86.3 86.2
Field Goal % 49.7% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 50.0
2 Point Shooting % 58.9% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 36.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 23.7
Free Throw % 82.2% 81.5%
Ball Control OKC MIA
Rebounds 47.4 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.7
Turnovers 12.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.2
Steals 6.6 6.8
Fouls 17.1 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MIA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with OKC MIA
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 31.4%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.9%
Turnover 11.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MIA
Shot Blocked 3.8% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 23.1%