Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, November 17, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | OKC | +6.5 | 184.0 | +227 |
| 706 | MIA | -6.5 | -255 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 65% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 70% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 69% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKC +6.5 | Power Rating Model | Okla City loses by 3.6 | |
| OKC +6.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Okla City 51% odds to cover | |
| OKC +6.5 | Decision Tree | Okla City 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 184.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 184.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKC +235 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | OKC | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.041 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.9% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 13.3% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.5% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.331 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 100.2 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.7 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | OKC | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.003 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 47.7% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.6% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.5% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.295 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 96.5 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.9% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.5% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | OKC | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-25 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 8-3 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 22-11 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 20-14 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | OKC | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-27-0 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-5-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 22-18-0 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 18-15-0 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 22-12-0 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||