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Okla City at Atlanta

  Saturday Mar 3, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Atlanta, GA | Odds: Oklahoma City by 6, Total Points: 191.5 | Team Pages: OKC | ATL

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC ATL
Points 111.4 124.5
Total Points   235.9
Points From 2-Pointers 64.4 68.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.8 47.6
Points From Free Throws 34.3 8.5

Shooting OKC ATL
Field Goals Made 36.4 50.0
Field Goals Attempted 79.9 86.4
Field Goal % 45.6% 57.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 34.2
2 Pointers Attempted 58.0 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 60.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 15.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 19.4% 52.6%
Free Throws Made 34.3 8.5
Free Throws Attempted 42.0 16.1
Free Throw % 81.6% 52.9%

Ball Control OKC ATL
Rebounds 48.3 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 30.4 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 17.8 9.9
Turnovers 11.6 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.2 10.0
Steals 10.3 4.6
Fouls 23.8 21.1

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +1.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC ATL
Total Possessions 97.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 95.3

% of Possessions with OKC ATL
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 27.6%
Player Fouled 21.7% 24.5%
Turnover 11.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 10.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken OKC ATL
Shot Blocked 11.8% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 38.1% 24.6%