Okla City at Memphis

  Tuesday Jan 10, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN | Odds: Oklahoma City by 2.5, Total Points: 193.5 | Team Pages: OKC | MEM

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MEM
Points 102.4 127.6
Total Points   230.0
Points From 2-Pointers 76.4 95.4
Points From 3-Pointers 5.2 18.8
Points From Free Throws 20.8 13.4

Shooting OKC MEM
Field Goals Made 40.0 54.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 86.2
Field Goal % 46.5% 62.6%
2 Pointers Made 38.2 47.7
2 Pointers Attempted 76.7 65.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 72.4%
3 Pointers Made 1.7 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 9.1 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 19.1% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 20.8 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 17.9
Free Throw % 80.8% 75.0%

Ball Control OKC MEM
Rebounds 49.9 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 25.4 10.2
Turnovers 18.3 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 7.5
Steals 8.1 4.1
Fouls 23.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MEM
Total Possessions 96.4
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 96.8

% of Possessions with OKC MEM
2 Point Attempt 61.5% 61.1%
3 Point Attempt 7.3% 18.8%
Player Fouled 15.0% 24.2%
Turnover 18.9% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 4.3% 8.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MEM
Shot Blocked 8.8% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 53.1% 29.3%