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Okla City at Milwaukee

  Monday Apr 9, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI | Odds: Oklahoma City by 3, Total Points: 212.5 | Team Pages: OKC | MIL

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MIL
Points 106.3 121.1
Total Points   227.4
Points From 2-Pointers 66.6 75.9
Points From 3-Pointers 9.4 25.7
Points From Free Throws 30.3 19.5

Shooting OKC MIL
Field Goals Made 36.4 46.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 86.6
Field Goal % 41.3% 53.7%
2 Pointers Made 33.3 37.9
2 Pointers Attempted 70.8 67.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.1 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 18.0% 44.5%
Free Throws Made 30.3 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 37.1 22.3
Free Throw % 81.6% 87.5%

Ball Control OKC MIL
Rebounds 57.4 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 19.8 3.3
Turnovers 15.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 5.7 11.1
Steals 6.7 6.9
Fouls 22.7 21.9

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MIL
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 109.3 98.1

% of Possessions with OKC MIL
2 Point Attempt 54.9% 61.1%
3 Point Attempt 13.5% 17.5%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.7%
Turnover 14.4% 9.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MIL
Shot Blocked 13.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 36.5% 8.2%