Game Information
| Date | Thursday, December 17, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | PHO | +1.5 | 203.5 | +109 |
| 706 | POR | -1.5 | -120 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 51% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Similar Games - Game Winners | Phoenix 58% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +1.5 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix loses by 0.3 | |
| POR -1.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 58% odds to cover | |
| POR -1.5 | Decision Tree | Portland 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 203.5 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 203.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +109 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.110 | 1.072 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.1% | 50.1% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 11.6% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.6% | 27.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.306 | 0.319 | |
| Points/Game | 109.5 | 97.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.4 | +2.8 | |
| SOS PR | 100.5 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.076 | 1.041 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.5% | 50.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.6% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.293 | 0.298 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.1 | 95.1 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 20.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-25 | 38-28 | |
| vs Division | 11-3 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 25-15 | 24-15 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 24-8 | 21-13 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 17-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-28-0 | 35-30-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 24-16-0 | 21-17-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 18-14-0 | 15-18-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 20-12-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||