Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 27, 2009 |
| Time | 9:30 PM |
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719 | PHO | -9.0 | 215.0 | -500 |
| 720 | MIN | +9.0 | +423 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Power Rating Model | Phoenix 84% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Similar Games - Game Winners | Phoenix 75% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Decision Tree | Phoenix 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO -9.0 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix wins by 11.8 | |
| PHO -9.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 55% odds to cover | |
| MIN +9.0 | Decision Tree | Minnesota 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 215.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 215.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO -500 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.116 | 0.987 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.2% | 47.5% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.8% | 27.2% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.308 | 0.275 | |
| Points/Game | 110.1 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.9 | -9.4 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 99.9 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.076 | 1.081 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.6% | 52.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 12.3% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.5% | 73.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.285 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.1 | 107.4 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 4.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.4% | 18.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-26 | 14-54 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 3-11 | |
| vs Conference | 27-16 | 7-36 | |
| Streak | W2 | L10 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 26-9 | 9-25 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 5-29 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-29-0 | 32-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 7-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 26-17-0 | 21-21-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 0-4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 20-15-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 15-19-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||