Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, November 17, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 | PHO | +2.5 | 218.0 | +120 |
| 710 | HOU | -2.5 | -133 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 62% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Houston 58% odds to win | |
| Houston | Decision Tree | Houston 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +3.0 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix loses by 3.0 | |
| PHO +2.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 55% odds to cover | |
| HOU -2.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 218.0 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 218.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -143 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| LAY OFF | Models do not show an edge in either direction. | ||
| LAY OFF | Models do not show an edge in either direction. | ||
| LAY OFF | Models do not show an edge in either direction. | ||
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.123 | 1.046 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.4% | 49.4% | |
| Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.6% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.6% | 26.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.318 | 0.292 | |
| Points/Game | 109.7 | 102.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.9 | -0.4 | |
| SOS PR | 101.1 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.073 | 1.050 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 51.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 13.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 71.0% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.300 | 0.281 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 104.9 | 102.7 | |
| Block % | 5.7% | 4.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.1% | 19.2% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 54-28 | 42-40 | |
| vs Division | 14-8 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 45-23 | 28-24 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 38-11 | 23-18 | |
| Away | 26-23 | 19-22 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 59-38-1 | 37-45-0 | |
| vs Division | 11-11-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 42-25-1 | 26-26-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 31-17-1 | 18-23-0 | |
| Away | 28-21-0 | 19-22-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||
