Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 1:30 PM |
| Location | Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ont |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 | PHO | -2.5 | 229.5 | -129 |
| 704 | TOR | +2.5 | +117 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Power Rating Model | Phoenix 59% odds to win | |
| Toronto | Similar Games - Game Winners | Toronto 52% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Decision Tree | Phoenix 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOR +2.5 | Power Rating Model | Toronto loses by 2.2 | |
| PHO -2.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 51% odds to cover | |
| TOR +2.5 | Decision Tree | Toronto 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 229.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 229.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO -129 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.115 | 1.077 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.3% | 51.9% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 12.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 24.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.310 | 0.330 | |
| Points/Game | 110.1 | 103.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.0 | -2.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.075 | 1.098 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 50.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 11.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.5% | 72.2% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.316 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 105.8 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 5.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-26 | 34-34 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 9-4 | |
| vs Conference | 28-16 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | W3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 27-9 | 23-11 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 11-23 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | TOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-29-0 | 30-38-0 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 27-17-0 | 20-23-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 21-15-0 | 16-18-0 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 14-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||