Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 12, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Pepsi Center, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 | PHO | +9.0 | 225.0 | +381 |
| 512 | DEN | -9.0 | -445 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 58% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 94% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 83% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +9.0 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix loses by 1.9 | |
| DEN -9.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Denver 69% odds to cover | |
| PHO +9.0 | Decision Tree | Phoenix 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 225.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 225.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +381 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 21% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.115 | 1.089 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.3% | 51.2% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 12.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.310 | 0.381 | |
| Points/Game | 110.1 | 107.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.0 | +5.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.075 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 49.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 13.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.5% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.322 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 6.1% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 20.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-26 | 47-23 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 10-4 | |
| vs Conference | 28-16 | 29-15 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 27-9 | 30-6 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-29-0 | 31-34-5 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 6-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 27-17-0 | 18-21-5 | |
| Streak | W3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 21-15-0 | 17-18-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 14-16-4 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||