Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, December 8, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 | PHO | +4.5 | 216.0 | +180 |
| 514 | DAL | -4.5 | -200 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 56% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games - Game Winners | Dallas 65% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +4.5 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix loses by 1.3 | |
| PHO +4.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 61% odds to cover | |
| DAL -4.5 | Decision Tree | Dallas 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 216.0 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 216.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +166 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.116 | 1.062 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.2% | 50.3% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 11.6% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.8% | 24.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.308 | 0.280 | |
| Points/Game | 110.1 | 101.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.9 | +2.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.076 | 1.039 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.6% | 49.8% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.5% | 73.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.267 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.1 | 99.6 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 6.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.4% | 17.7% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-26 | 46-22 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 27-16 | 24-16 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 26-9 | 24-10 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-29-0 | 28-39-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 26-17-0 | 15-24-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 20-15-0 | 7-26-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||