Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 4, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Amway Arena, Orlando, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | PHO | +7.5 | 218.0 | +280 |
| 504 | ORL | -7.5 | -310 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando | Power Rating Model | Orlando 67% odds to win | |
| Orlando | Similar Games - Game Winners | Orlando 74% odds to win | |
| Orlando | Decision Tree | Orlando 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +7.5 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix loses by 4.3 | |
| ORL -7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Orlando 51% odds to cover | |
| ORL -7.5 | Decision Tree | Orlando 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 218.0 | Decision Tree | 60% odds to go under 218.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +280 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.115 | 1.073 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.3% | 52.9% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 13.2% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 24.5% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.310 | 0.343 | |
| Points/Game | 110.1 | 102.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.0 | +6.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.075 | 1.000 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 47.5% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 11.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.5% | 77.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.272 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 95.1 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 6.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 19.1% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-26 | 49-21 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 9-5 | |
| vs Conference | 28-16 | 33-12 | |
| Streak | W3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 27-9 | 28-7 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 21-14 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | ORL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-29-0 | 38-31-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 27-17-0 | 26-19-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 21-15-0 | 20-15-0 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 18-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||