Game Information
| Date | Thursday, November 12, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | PHO | +8.0 | 220.5 | +289 |
| 504 | LAL | -8.0 | -330 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Lakers | Power Rating Model | LA Lakers 53% odds to win | |
| LA Lakers | Similar Games - Game Winners | LA Lakers 77% odds to win | |
| LA Lakers | Decision Tree | LA Lakers 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +8.0 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix loses by 0.6 | |
| PHO +8.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 59% odds to cover | |
| PHO +8.0 | Decision Tree | Phoenix 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 220.5 | Decision Tree | 50% odds to go over 220.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +289 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 21% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.115 | 1.060 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.3% | 49.8% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 12.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 27.4% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.310 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 110.1 | 103.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.0 | +6.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.6 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.075 | 0.998 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 48.0% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.5% | 74.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.263 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 97.0 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 18.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-26 | 51-18 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 12-2 | |
| vs Conference | 28-16 | 30-11 | |
| Streak | W3 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 27-9 | 31-5 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 20-13 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | LAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-29-0 | 29-37-3 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 27-17-0 | 17-23-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 21-15-0 | 15-19-2 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 14-18-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||