Game Information
| Date | Thursday, November 19, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 | PHO | -8.0 | 215.0 | -380 |
| 702 | NOR | +8.0 | +330 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Power Rating Model | Phoenix 68% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Similar Games - Game Winners | Phoenix 76% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Decision Tree | Phoenix 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +8.0 | Power Rating Model | New Orleans loses by 4.7 | |
| PHO -8.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 55% odds to cover | |
| NOR +8.0 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 215.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 215.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR +322 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.115 | 1.040 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.3% | 50.1% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 12.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 24.9% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.310 | 0.242 | |
| Points/Game | 110.1 | 99.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.0 | -2.6 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.1 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.075 | 1.067 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.5% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.270 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 102.4 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 4.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-26 | 33-38 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 5-8 | |
| vs Conference | 28-16 | 22-23 | |
| Streak | W3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 27-9 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 12-26 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-29-0 | 32-38-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 5-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 27-17-0 | 18-26-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 21-15-0 | 14-19-0 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 18-19-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||