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Phoenix at Miami

  Tuesday Mar 20, 2012 - 7:30 pm - Miami, FL | Odds: Miami by 10.5, Total Points: 200 | Team Pages: PHX | MIA

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHX MIA
Points 108.6 108.6
Total Points   217.2
Points From 2-Pointers 75.7 81.6
Points From 3-Pointers 30.8 14.7
Points From Free Throws 2.2 12.3

Shooting PHX MIA
Field Goals Made 48.1 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 89.9 94.6
Field Goal % 53.5% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 37.8 40.8
2 Pointers Attempted 58.0 72.8
2 Point Shooting % 65.2% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.9 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 22.4%
Free Throws Made 2.2 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 3.1 14.2
Free Throw % 72.2% 87.0%

Ball Control PHX MIA
Rebounds 36.9 53.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 21.0
Turnovers 13.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 6.4 5.5
Steals 4.0 10.9
Fouls 14.9 8.4

Playing Style Advantage: Miami

Expected Effect: +4.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHX MIA
Total Possessions 95.2
Effective Scoring Chances 91.0 103.6

% of Possessions with PHX MIA
2 Point Attempt 54.6% 61.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 18.4%
Player Fouled 8.8% 15.6%
Turnover 13.6% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 4.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken PHX MIA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 42.7%