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Phoenix at Miami

  Tuesday Mar 20, 2012 - 7:30 pm - Miami, FL | Odds: Miami by 10.5, Total Points: 200 | Team Pages: PHX | MIA

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHX MIA
Points 101.8 101.1
Total Points   202.9
Points From 2-Pointers 57.5 50.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 28.6
Points From Free Throws 19.7 21.9

Shooting PHX MIA
Field Goals Made 36.9 34.9
Field Goals Attempted 77.8 74.5
Field Goal % 47.4% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 25.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 42.6%
Free Throws Made 19.7 21.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 29.8
Free Throw % 82.1% 73.3%

Ball Control PHX MIA
Rebounds 45.2 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 33.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.5
Turnovers 14.8 14.5
Blocked Shots 5.2 2.7
Steals 8.0 8.5
Fouls 21.4 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Miami

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHX MIA
Total Possessions 97.7
Effective Scoring Chances 92.7 91.7

% of Possessions with PHX MIA
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 20.6%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.9%
Turnover 15.2% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken PHX MIA
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 19.4%