Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, November 3, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 | PHO | +4.5 | 215.5 | +165 |
| 710 | MIA | -4.5 | -175 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 67% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 73% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 63% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +4.5 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix loses by 4.4 | |
| PHO +4.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Phoenix 61% odds to cover | |
| PHO +4.5 | Decision Tree | Phoenix 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 215.5 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 215.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -175 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.115 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 54.3% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.310 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 110.1 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.0 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.4 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.075 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.4% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.5% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-26 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 28-16 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | W3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 27-9 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-29-0 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 27-17-0 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 21-15-0 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||