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Phoenix at Atlanta

  Monday Feb 6, 2012 - 7:30 pm - Atlanta, GA | Odds: Atlanta by 8, Total Points: 189.5 | Team Pages: PHX | ATL

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHX ATL
Points 131.0 103.8
Total Points   234.8
Points From 2-Pointers 69.7 76.3
Points From 3-Pointers 58.5 21.8
Points From Free Throws 2.8 5.6

Shooting PHX ATL
Field Goals Made 54.4 45.4
Field Goals Attempted 98.9 85.7
Field Goal % 54.9% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made 34.8 38.2
2 Pointers Attempted 59.3 68.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 19.5 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.7 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 49.2% 42.6%
Free Throws Made 2.8 5.6
Free Throws Attempted 3.9 10.6
Free Throw % 72.2% 52.9%

Ball Control PHX ATL
Rebounds 42.2 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 31.0 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 11.3
Turnovers 9.4 18.0
Blocked Shots 8.1 6.4
Steals 7.9 6.5
Fouls 20.0 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHX ATL
Total Possessions 98.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 91.5

% of Possessions with PHX ATL
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 60.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 15.2%
Player Fouled 11.3% 20.4%
Turnover 9.6% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken PHX ATL
Shot Blocked 7.7% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 26.7%