Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 6, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | TD Banknorth Garden, Boston, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 | PHO | +10.5 | 207.5 | +585 |
| 510 | BOS | -10.5 | -645 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Power Rating Model | Boston 79% odds to win | |
| Boston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Boston 91% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +10.5 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix loses by 9.1 | |
| BOS -10.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Boston 53% odds to cover | |
| BOS -10.5 | Decision Tree | Boston 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 207.5 | Decision Tree | 60% odds to go under 207.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO +585 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.110 | 1.042 | |
| Effective FG % | 53.9% | 52.4% | |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 14.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.7% | 22.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.306 | 0.333 | |
| Points/Game | 109.3 | 98.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.3 | +4.4 | |
| SOS PR | 100.5 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PHO | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.076 | 0.995 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.5% | 48.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.1% | 14.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 70.6% | 74.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.329 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 106.0 | 94.1 | |
| Block % | 6.0% | 6.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.4% | 20.5% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-26 | 41-23 | |
| vs Division | 11-4 | 11-2 | |
| vs Conference | 25-16 | 28-14 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 24-9 | 19-12 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 22-11 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PHO | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-29-0 | 25-37-2 | |
| vs Division | 8-7-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 24-17-0 | 19-22-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 18-15-0 | 8-22-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 17-15-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||