Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 16, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | ORACLE Arena, Oakland, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523 | SAN | -5.5 | 214.0 | -225 |
| 524 | GST | +5.5 | +201 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Power Rating Model | San Antonio 61% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Similar Games - Game Winners | San Antonio 85% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GST +5.5 | Power Rating Model | Golden State loses by 2.7 | |
| SAN -5.5 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 57% odds to cover | |
| GST +5.5 | Decision Tree | Golden State 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 214.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 214.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| GST +205 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.071 | 1.046 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.6% | 51.3% | |
| Turnover % | 12.2% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.7% | 21.2% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.289 | 0.293 | |
| Points/Game | 101.4 | 108.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.9 | -4.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 99.9 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.020 | 1.086 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.4% | 52.6% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.6% | 14.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 76.3% | 68.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.282 | 0.345 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 96.6 | 112.2 | |
| Block % | 5.8% | 4.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.4% | 20.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-27 | 19-50 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 4-9 | |
| vs Conference | 25-17 | 10-32 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 25-10 | 15-20 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 4-30 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-33-1 | 39-29-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-19-1 | 23-19-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 20-14-1 | 21-14-0 | |
| Away | 14-19-0 | 18-15-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||