Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 6, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525 | SAN | +4.0 | 185.5 | +156 |
| 526 | POR | -4.0 | -166 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 68% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 65% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 62% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR -4.0 | Power Rating Model | Portland wins by 4.7 | |
| SAN +4.0 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 53% odds to cover | |
| SAN +4.0 | Decision Tree | San Antonio 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 185.5 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 185.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR -166 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.065 | 1.078 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.2% | 50.1% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 11.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.6% | 28.2% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.287 | 0.322 | |
| Points/Game | 100.6 | 98.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.6 | +3.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.016 | 1.043 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.3% | 50.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 76.3% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.283 | 0.296 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.9 | 95.2 | |
| Block % | 5.8% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.6% | 20.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-26 | 41-28 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 24-17 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 24-10 | 22-13 | |
| Away | 16-16 | 19-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-32-1 | 37-31-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-19-1 | 22-18-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 19-14-1 | 16-18-1 | |
| Away | 14-18-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||