Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, December 15, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | US Airways Center, Phoenix, AZ |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 | SAN | +2.0 | 209.5 | +114 |
| 712 | PHO | -2.0 | -126 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Power Rating Model | Phoenix 62% odds to win | |
| Phoenix | Similar Games - Game Winners | Phoenix 51% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO -2.0 | Power Rating Model | Phoenix wins by 2.9 | |
| SAN +2.0 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 69% odds to cover | |
| SAN +2.0 | Decision Tree | San Antonio 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 209.5 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 209.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHO -125 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.065 | 1.116 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.2% | 54.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.6% | 27.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.287 | 0.308 | |
| Points/Game | 100.6 | 110.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.6 | +3.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.016 | 1.076 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.3% | 49.6% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.7% | 11.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 76.3% | 70.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.283 | 0.292 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.9 | 106.1 | |
| Block % | 5.8% | 6.0% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.6% | 18.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-26 | 42-26 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 11-4 | |
| vs Conference | 24-17 | 27-16 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 24-10 | 26-9 | |
| Away | 16-16 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | PHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-32-1 | 39-29-0 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-19-1 | 26-17-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 19-14-1 | 20-15-0 | |
| Away | 14-18-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||