Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 27, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 | SAN | +1.0 | 195.0 | +108 |
| 716 | HOU | -1.0 | -119 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 64% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Similar Games - Game Winners | San Antonio 58% odds to win | |
| San Antonio | Decision Tree | San Antonio 53% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -1.0 | Power Rating Model | Houston wins by 3.4 | |
| SAN +1.0 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 55% odds to cover | |
| HOU -1.0 | Decision Tree | Houston 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 195.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 195.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -102 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.065 | 1.043 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.2% | 49.4% | |
| Turnover % | 12.3% | 12.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.6% | 27.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.287 | 0.291 | |
| Points/Game | 100.6 | 101.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.6 | +0.4 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.016 | 1.039 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.3% | 50.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 76.3% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.283 | 0.279 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.9 | 101.5 | |
| Block % | 5.8% | 4.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.6% | 19.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-26 | 35-31 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 24-17 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 24-10 | 20-14 | |
| Away | 16-16 | 15-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 33-32-1 | 31-35-0 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-19-1 | 23-20-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 19-14-1 | 16-18-0 | |
| Away | 14-18-0 | 15-17-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||