Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 18, 2009 |
| Time | 9:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 521 | SAN | +3.0 | 196.0 | +137 |
| 522 | DAL | -3.0 | -151 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 69% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games - Game Winners | Dallas 61% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL -2.5 | Power Rating Model | Dallas wins by 5.1 | |
| SAN +3.0 | Similar Games - ATS | San Antonio 57% odds to cover | |
| SAN +3.0 | Decision Tree | San Antonio 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 196.0 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 196.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL -134 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.071 | 1.061 | |
| Effective FG % | 51.6% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.2% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.7% | 24.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.289 | 0.279 | |
| Points/Game | 101.4 | 101.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.9 | +2.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SAN | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.020 | 1.040 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.4% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.6% | 13.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 76.3% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.282 | 0.267 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 96.6 | 99.6 | |
| Block % | 5.8% | 6.6% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.4% | 17.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-27 | 46-23 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 25-17 | 24-16 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 25-10 | 24-11 | |
| Away | 16-17 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SAN | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-33-1 | 28-40-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 22-19-1 | 15-24-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 20-14-1 | 7-27-1 | |
| Away | 14-19-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||