Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, October 28, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | ORACLE Arena, Oakland, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721 | HOU | +5.0 | 212.5 | +235 |
| 722 | GST | -5.0 | -255 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 63% odds to win | |
| Golden State | Similar Games - Game Winners | Golden State 67% odds to win | |
| Golden State | Decision Tree | Golden State 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +5.0 | Power Rating Model | Houston wins by 3.1 | |
| GST -5.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Golden State 51% odds to cover | |
| HOU +5.0 | Decision Tree | Houston 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 212.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go over 212.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +235 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 33% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.046 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.3% | 51.3% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.3% | 21.2% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.293 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 108.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.3 | -4.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 99.9 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.039 | 1.086 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 52.6% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 14.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 68.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.278 | 0.345 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.3 | 112.2 | |
| Block % | 4.8% | 4.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.2% | 20.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-32 | 19-50 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 4-9 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 10-32 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 20-15 | 15-20 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 4-30 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | GST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-36-0 | 39-29-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 23-20-0 | 23-19-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 16-19-0 | 21-14-0 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 18-15-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||