Game Information
| Date | Saturday, December 5, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 | HOU | +5.5 | 193.5 | +196 |
| 714 | POR | -5.5 | -219 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 57% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 77% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +5.0 | Power Rating Model | Houston loses by 1.6 | |
| POR -5.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 57% odds to cover | |
| POR -5.5 | Decision Tree | Portland 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 193.5 | Decision Tree | 57% odds to go under 193.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +180 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.076 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.3% | 49.9% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.3% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.323 | |
| Points/Game | 101.7 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.3 | +3.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.039 | 1.041 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.2% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.278 | 0.295 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.3 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 4.8% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.2% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-32 | 42-28 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 25-18 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 20-15 | 23-13 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 19-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 31-36-0 | 37-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-5-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 23-20-0 | 22-18-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 16-19-0 | 16-19-1 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||