Game Information
| Date | Tuesday, October 27, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 | HOU | +8.5 | 187.5 | +390 |
| 506 | POR | -8.5 | -430 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 59% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 67% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +8.5 | Power Rating Model | Houston loses by 2.0 | |
| POR -8.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 51% odds to cover | |
| HOU +8.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 187.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 187.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +390 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 21% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.042 | 1.078 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.2% | 50.1% | |
| Turnover % | 12.7% | 11.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.4% | 28.2% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.291 | 0.322 | |
| Points/Game | 101.8 | 98.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.2 | +3.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HOU | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.040 | 1.043 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.3% | 50.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.2% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.279 | 0.296 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 101.6 | 95.2 | |
| Block % | 4.7% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.3% | 20.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-31 | 41-28 | |
| vs Division | 7-5 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 24-18 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | W3 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 19-14 | 22-13 | |
| Away | 15-17 | 19-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HOU | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 30-35-0 | 37-31-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-5-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 22-20-0 | 22-18-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 15-18-0 | 16-18-1 | |
| Away | 15-17-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||