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Houston at Okla City

  Friday Jan 6, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Oklahoma City, OK | Odds: Oklahoma City by 8.5, Total Points: 206.5 | Team Pages: HOU | OKC

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU OKC
Points 94.9 81.7
Total Points   176.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 48.6
Points From 3-Pointers 40.7 18.3
Points From Free Throws 19.1 14.7

Shooting HOU OKC
Field Goals Made 31.1 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 82.3 80.4
Field Goal % 37.8% 37.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 24.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 41.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.6 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 42.1 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 19.1 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 22.5
Free Throw % 70.8% 65.5%

Ball Control HOU OKC
Rebounds 55.2 53.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 16.6 15.1
Turnovers 13.6 16.5
Blocked Shots 6.4 6.0
Steals 7.5 5.5
Fouls 20.8 21.0

Playing Style Advantage: Houston

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU OKC
Total Possessions 95.6
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 94.2

% of Possessions with HOU OKC
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 19.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 21.8%
Turnover 14.2% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken HOU OKC
Shot Blocked 7.6% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 28.1%