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Houston at Okla City

  Friday Jan 6, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Oklahoma City, OK | Odds: Oklahoma City by 8.5, Total Points: 206.5 | Team Pages: HOU | OKC

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU OKC
Points 114.1 94.9
Total Points   209.0
Points From 2-Pointers 45.5 62.6
Points From 3-Pointers 49.0 5.2
Points From Free Throws 19.6 27.1

Shooting HOU OKC
Field Goals Made 39.1 33.0
Field Goals Attempted 81.7 69.7
Field Goal % 47.8% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.7 31.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 57.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 16.3 1.7
3 Pointers Attempted 38.8 11.7
3 Point Shooting % 42.1% 14.6%
Free Throws Made 19.6 27.1
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 33.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 81.6%

Ball Control HOU OKC
Rebounds 41.3 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 12.9
Turnovers 10.5 17.9
Blocked Shots 6.0 2.8
Steals 5.9 6.0
Fouls 25.0 24.8

Playing Style Advantage: Okla City

Expected Effect: +3.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU OKC
Total Possessions 95.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 89.9

% of Possessions with HOU OKC
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.1% 10.7%
Player Fouled 26.1% 26.3%
Turnover 11.1% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken HOU OKC
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 32.5%